Silver Bulletin 2024 presidential election forecast
WEB1 day ago · Silver Bulletin 2024 presidential election forecast. All the numbers for Trump vs. Harris. 🕒 Last update: 11:30 a.m., Sunday, September 22. There was not much polling today, but an NBC News poll that has Harris up 5 or 6 points, depending on the question wording, is …
Kamala Harris Favored to Win 4 Critical Swing States—Nate Silver…
WEBAccording to Silver's calculated polling averages for the two nominees, Harris leads the former president in Michigan by 2.4 points (49.3 to 46.9 percent) as of Saturday.
Nate Silver finds Harris with edge on Trump for first time since …
WEB2 days ago · Vice President Harris has taken the lead in pollster Nate Silver's election forecast and model for the first time since Aug. 28. Harris now leads in the polling aggregation with 48.9 percent to Trump’s 46.1 percent. Silver, in a post noting the shift, emphasized how tight the race is between Harris and Trump.
Nate Silver poll projects Harris, Trump split popular, electoral vote
WEB5 days ago · More polls show Harris leading Trump, but Nate Silver sees popular, electoral vote split. Polls released Monday by USA TODAY/Suffolk University show Kamala Harris holds a four-point lead over ...
Nate Silver Issues 'Good News' for Kamala Harris on Electoral
WEBNate Silver, the statistician and founder of polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight, issued good news for Vice President Kamala Harris on an episode of his podcast, Risky Business, with Maria Konnikova.
Harris is gaining in post-debate polls - by Nate Silver
WEB5 days ago · Harris is pretty clearly getting a bounce in national polls. She’s now up by 2.9 points in our polling average, as compared with 2.2 points on the day of the debate (and 2.0 points on the day after the debate, when there wasn’t yet any post-debate polling included in the averages). Arguably — arguably! — this is even a little conservative.
A tour of the 7½ key swing states - by Nate Silver
WEB1 day ago · 117. 22. Share. In 16 years of running election forecasts, I’ve never seen such a close election. Our polling averages in seven swing states — in alphabetical order: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — are within 2 percentage points. A systematic polling error, or a shift in the race in the ...
Nate Silver: ‘I have never seen such a close race | CNN Politics
WEB4 days ago · Nate Silver joins The Lead. 04:09 - Source: CNN. Latest Videos 17 videos. Nate Silver: "I have never seen such a close race. 04:09. 'Time to step up': Harris on accepting Democratic presidential ...
Nate Silver – FiveThirtyEight
WEBApr 21, 2023 · Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight. He is the author of “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — But Some Don’t.”. Apr. 25, 2023.
Nate Silver's Forecast Shows Harris as Favorite for First Time in
WEBS tatistician Nate Silver 's latest election forecast shows Vice President Kamala Harris overtaking former President Donald Trump in the race for the White House for the first time since late ...