Ali Bhanpuri uses the Next Gen Stats playoff probability model to shed light on the 2024 NFL playoff picture. Which team is most likely to unseat the Chiefs atop the AFC? Which division frontrunners are most at risk of losing their leads?

The Bengals and Ravens — both AFC playoff hopefuls — played on Thursday night and that was just the start of Week 10.

It’s not exactly where the 49ers wanted to be, but winning in Week 10 put them in position to make a run, and gave themselves a little bit of margin for error if they drop one of their upcoming games against the Seahawks, Packers or Bills.

Based on three different playoff projectors, the Packers’ probability to make the postseason sits somewhere between 70 and 80 percent entering Week 11. According to Next Gen Stats, the Packers (6-3) have a 72 percent chance of making the playoffs and could raise their probability to 79 percent with a win over the Chicago Bears on Sunday.

Here's everything you need to know when the Green Bay Packers play the Chicago Bears Week 11 of the 2024 NFL season.

With a 6-3 record and a one-game lead in the NFC playoff chase, you’d think the Green Bay Packers would have a strong probability of reaching

The Green Bay Packers opened Week 11 as big road favorites against the reeling Chicago Bears. According to BetMGM, the Packers are 6.5-point favorites ahead of Sunday’s showdown with the Bears at Soldier Field.