Final 2024 Election Predictions From Betting Markets Have Experts Sounding Alarm
Polymarket, the world’s largest prediction market, has the Republican candidate with a 38 point lead against his Democratic opponent.
Experts Worry Election-Betting Markets Are Skewed Ahead of Vote
Economists have long loved prediction markets. Even niche platforms such as the Iowa Electronic Markets and betting pools inside companies like Ford Motor Co. have been praised for their fortune-telling prowess.
Opinion
Gambling on ‘vibes’ — why the betting markets are getting the election all wrong
The betting markets currently have Donald Trump at a 62% chance of winning Tuesday’s election, but this is based on the bettors’ models that rely on social media engagement, which may
Trump dominating over Harris in betting markets ahead of Election Day
Former President Trump is strongly favored to beat Vice President Harris in the 2024 presidential election, according to all but one prediction market.
Harris vs. Trump: Betting and prediction markets are picking a clear favorite
Over the past several weeks, Harris slid slightly, then the race tightened again, with Harris even briefly becoming the favorite. Tuesday, the Insider predicts, “will be a roller-coaster day.” Some betting experts believe a bet on Trump could be a simple wager that he’ll win Pennsylvania and cut off Harris’ most likely path to 270 electoral votes.
Trump, Harris make final election push
Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump made their final pitches to voters in the same parts of Pennsylvania at roughly the same time. They spent the last full day of the presidential campaign in a state that could make or break their chances.
Trump’s Betting Market Lead Narrowed Over The Weekend—But He Remains Bookmakers Favorite To Win
Swings in the betting markets favoring Vice President Kamala Harris over the weekend were triggered by a key poll showing the Democrat ahead in the solidly red state of Iowa.
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Where prediction markets stand hours before first returns
However, if Harris ends up winning, that gambler would be awarded $3,000. President Most betting markets give Trump an ...
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Kalshi election betting odds: Do bettors pick Trump or Harris? What we know on Election Day
Kalshi, a prediction platform and the largest regulated U.S. exchange, has been one of the faces of election betting ...
Stocks rally as betting-market participants shorten odds of Trump victory
Betting markets saw gamblers shortening the odds of a victory for President Donald Trump on Tuesday, while stocks remained ...
Election Betting Odds: Trump Leads Harris As Voting Enters Final Hours
Interactive Brokers: The digital brokerage run by billionaire Thomas Peterffy offers election betting via its subsidiary ForecastEx, which prices in around 57% odds for Trump and 41% for Harris.
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Top data scientist: Betting markets think Trump is winning, but Harris voters have reasons to remain hopeful
in Miller's words, separated by "just a state or two." Second, Miller stresses that the betting markets, including ...
Betting markets put odds of Trump victory close to 60%
Political gamblers like Donald Trump's chances of winning a second term in the White House. RealClearPolitics shows an average of 6 betting platforms giving the former president a 59.2% chance of ...
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ELECTION MANIA: Donald Trump's Chances of White House Win Slump in Betting Markets As Nail-Biting Election Day Looms
Donald Trump's once large margin of victory in presidential race betting markets has taken a hit days out from the election.
What are the odds of Trump winning? Betting markets say...
With polls closing in just a matter of hours, betting markets are firmly favouring Trump to secure a win. Polymarket, one ...
Super Bowl 59 Betting Odds: Chiefs, Lions Atop Oddsboards Entering Week 10
Newsweek's NFL betting expert looks at the current Super Bowl 59 odds and details the best Super Bowl 59 picks entering Week ...
Betting Platform Prices Point to a Trump Victory
Other betting markets have more consistently pointed to a Trump victory being the more probable outcome. Recent prices on ...