Betting markets bet big on Trump before Nov 5

Financial markets are betting on a Trump victory
The easiest place to get a read on the thinking of punters is in election-betting markets. The three that get the most attention are Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Polymarket, a cryptocurrency-based platform that bills itself as the world’s biggest ...
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Betting markets breaking for Trump as returns trickle in
Political prediction markets are increasingly expecting Trump to win the election, with the odds of a Trump victory ticking up over the past couple of hours. Right before polls closed, Polymarket gave Trump implied odds of about 61% that he would defeat Harris.
Trump dominating over Harris in betting markets ahead of Election Day
Former President Trump is strongly favored to beat Vice President Harris in the 2024 presidential election, according to all but one prediction market.
Betting on the election is the hottest new trend. But can prediction markets keep the momentum going?
Platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket are reshaping election analysis through prediction markets, and it might not stop at politics.
Prediction markets suddenly surge toward Trump as first election results come in
Betting markets took a sharp turn toward Donald Trump on Tuesday night as the first states were called in the presidential election. Deep red Kentucky, Indiana, and West Virginia were called for Donald Trump,
Prediction-Market Prices Point to Likely Trump Victory
As Americans head to the polls, prices on four betting platforms all point to an electoral victory for former President Donald Trump. Prices on PredictIt, which in recent days suggested Vice President Kamala Harris had the better chance of winning,
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Final 2024 Election Predictions From Betting Markets Have Experts Sounding Alarm
Polymarket, the world’s largest prediction market, has the Republican candidate with a 38 point lead against his Democratic ...
Kalshi election betting odds: Do bettors pick Trump or Harris? What we know on Election Day
Election betting is now legal in the U.S. Do Kalshi betting odds predict a Harris or a Trump win? What to know as Ohioans ...
Experts Worry Election-Betting Markets Are Skewed Ahead of Vote
Economists have long loved prediction markets. Even niche platforms such as the Iowa Electronic Markets and betting pools ...
Presidential Betting Markets Are a Real-Time Experiment for Regulators—and It Could End Poorly
Billions have been wagered on the presidential election on platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket. The bets are comically ...
Trump-Harris Betting Markets And Swing State Odds With U.S. President Projections
Election betting has become a major talking point during the 2024 U.S. presidential election. The Swing States are the focus ...
What do betting markets say about control of Congress?
Election Day is less than a week away and voters are already heading to the polls and mailing in their ballots, and betting ...
Nate Silver: Don't trust the Trump swing in 2024 presidential election polls, betting markets data
Nate Silver is on record saying the presidential election momentum is with Donald Trump, but it’s not because polling or ...
Betting markets or polls: Which is more accurate in determining election outcomes
Another disadvantage of polls is that some Americans are just unresponsive to pollsters. ABC’s FiveThirtyEight pollsters said ...
Betting Platform Prices Point to a Trump Victory
Other betting markets have more consistently pointed to a Trump victory being the more probable outcome. Recent prices on ...