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Betting markets bet big on Trump before Nov 5

Stocks rally as betting-market participants shorten odds of Trump victory

Betting markets saw gamblers shortening the odds of a victory for President Donald Trump on Tuesday, while stocks remained higher in afternoon trade. Participants in Interactive Broker's IBKR Forecast Trader assign a 58% chance of Trump returning to the White House,

The Economist · 1d

Financial markets are betting on a Trump victory

The easiest place to get a read on the thinking of punters is in election-betting markets. The three that get the most attention are Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Polymarket, a cryptocurrency-based platform that bills itself as the world’s biggest ...

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Washington Examiner · 1h

Betting markets breaking for Trump as returns trickle in

Political prediction markets are increasingly expecting Trump to win the election, with the odds of a Trump victory ticking up over the past couple of hours. Right before polls closed, Polymarket gave Trump implied odds of about 61% that he would defeat Harris.

Fortune on MSN · 1h

Prediction markets suddenly surge toward Trump as first election results come in

Betting markets took a sharp turn toward Donald Trump on Tuesday night as the first states were called in the presidential election. Deep red Kentucky, Indiana, and West Virginia were called for Donald Trump,

Wall Street Journal · 16h

Prediction-Market Prices Point to Likely Trump Victory

As Americans head to the polls, prices on four betting platforms all point to an electoral victory for former President Donald Trump. Prices on PredictIt, which in recent days suggested Vice President Kamala Harris had the better chance of winning,

Harris And Trump In Near-Dead Heat 1 Day Before Election

USA Today · 4h

Kalshi election betting odds: Do bettors pick Trump or Harris? What we know on Election Day

Kalshi, a prediction platform and the largest regulated U.S. exchange, has been one of the faces of election betting markets, which is now legal in the U.S. The company describes itself on X as" the first legal way to bet on the election in America."

U.S. News & World Report on MSN · 3h

Trump vs. Harris: Swing State Election Results

The group of swing states each presidential cycle is often similar, although variations can occur due to changing demographics, turnout and other factors. Georgia and North Caroli

The Washington Post on MSN · 15h

Tuesday briefing: Harris vs. Trump on Election Day; when to expect results; House and Senate races; register to vote; and more

Kamala Harris and Donald Trump had a frantic last day of campaigning. Abortion is on the ballot today in 10 states. Congress could be headed for an unprecedented double flip. The world is watching what happens in the U.

The Daily Beast on MSN8h

Final 2024 Election Predictions From Betting Markets Have Experts Sounding Alarm

Polymarket, the world’s largest prediction market, has the Republican candidate with a 38 point lead against his Democratic ...

2hon MSN

Election Betting Odds: Trump’s Lead Over Harris Drops Slightly As First Election Results Come In

Shortly after the first major poll closures, betting markets showed former President Donald Trump’s lead over Vice President Kamala Harris slightly decrease from where it was earlier, though ...

1don MSN

Experts Worry Election-Betting Markets Are Skewed Ahead of Vote

Economists have long loved prediction markets. Even niche platforms such as the Iowa Electronic Markets and betting pools ...

Marketplace50m

The rise of election betting

Today we’re talking about a breakout story of this election cycle: the rise of prediction markets and betting on elections.

13h

Betting markets put odds of Trump victory close to 60%

Political gamblers like Donald Trump's chances of winning a second term in the White House. RealClearPolitics shows an average of 6 betting platforms giving the former president a 59.2% chance of ...